Central Bank Rates Review
By Alun John, Naomi Rovnick, and Samuel Indyk
LONDON (Reuters) – The Bank of England concluded a significant year for central bank rate cuts by maintaining rates on Thursday, a day after the Federal Reserve took a cautious approach for 2025.
Seven of the world's ten major developed-market central banks reduced rates this year, with Australia and Norway holding steady, and Japan increasing rates.
1. Switzerland
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points to 0.5%, the lowest since November 2022, marking its most significant reduction in nearly a decade. With annual inflation at 0.7%, the SNB remains vigilant about the Swiss franc's strength impacting exports and hinted at potential further cuts.
2. Canada
The Bank of Canada reduced rates by 50 basis points to 3.25%, its first consecutive half-point cuts since the COVID-19 pandemic. While inflation rose to 2%, concerns about the weak economy and potential U.S. tariffs led markets to anticipate another cut next month.
3. Sweden
Sweden's Riksbank cut rates by a quarter-point to 2.5%, indicating a slower easing pace after previous cuts. The central bank prefers a careful approach due to the delayed effects of monetary policy.
4. New Zealand
New Zealand faces recession, pushing for aggressive rate cuts. The Reserve Bank has already lowered rates by 125 basis points and could cut by another 50 next meeting in February.
5. Euro Zone
The ECB cut its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3%, marking its fourth cut this year and leaving options open for further reductions.
6. United States
The Federal Reserve cut rates as expected, but Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that additional cuts will depend on progress against high inflation.
7. Britain
The Bank of England maintained its rate at 4.75% but showed divisions on the need for cuts amid slowing economic conditions, leading to a rally in UK government bond prices.
8. Norway
Norway's central bank held its policy rate steady at 4.5%, signaling an expectation to begin easing in March.
9. Australia
The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 4.35% but indicated a softer inflation outlook, raising the probability of a quarter-point cut next month.
10. Japan
The Bank of Japan, the only G10 central bank in a hiking cycle, kept rates unchanged but hinted at future adjustments after waiting for wage data to be released in Spring.
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