AI stocks not in a bubble but concentration risks are high: Goldman

investing.com 05/09/2024 - 10:04 AM

AI Sector Insights from Goldman Sachs

Investing.com — Goldman Sachs strategists assert that the AI sector is not in a bubble despite high concentration risks linked to a few dominant companies.

Technology Sector Performance

Since 2010, the technology sector has significantly contributed to global equity performance, accounting for 32%. This robust growth is fueled by solid fundamentals and transformative technologies like AI, rather than mere speculation.

Valuation Insights

Despite rapid valuation increases, Goldman believes AI will continue driving returns. The report points out that the “Magnificent Seven”—top U.S. tech firms like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia—command a considerable market share.

These companies have demonstrated solid earnings growth and substantial investments in AI, contrasting sharply with previous bubble valuations like the late 1990s dot-com era. Current valuations are justified by their profitability and cash flow, remaining relatively modest compared to those observed during tech bubbles.

Caution Advised

Goldman Sachs warns of historic market concentration, where the top 10 companies comprise over one-third of the S&P 500. The five largest companies alone contribute 27% of its total value.

Market observers ponder whether the AI-led surge signals a potential bubble or merely poses risks from high concentration, possibly entrap investors in a “dangerous trap.”

Opportunities for Diversification

However, this environment may also offer opportunities to diversify, encouraging investment in undervalued companies outside the major players. Goldman recommends investors look into smaller tech firms and other sectors, such as traditional industries, poised for growth from increased infrastructure spending.




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