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Bitcoin supported by elevated risk-on sentiment as yen weakens against the dollar: analyst

theblock.co 20/09/2024 - 10:19 AM

Bitcoin Price Update

Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged over 6% following a 50 basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut, hitting $63,800 in early trading, after a drop to around $57,500 earlier this week.

Factors Influencing Bitcoin’s Rally

The rally is aided by the weakening Japanese yen. According to derivatives trader Gordon Grant, the U.S. dollar’s strength against the yen has historically benefited higher-risk assets. He noted, “The plus 1% strengthening of the dollar uniquely against the yen has accommodated an appreciation in assets like gold, silver, and also bitcoin.” Grant indicates that bitcoin’s dual nature allows it to gain value when the dollar weakens, while also responding positively to improving market sentiment.

Bank of Japan’s Policy

The macroeconomic backdrop of a strong dollar and weak yen was reinforced by the Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain its interest rate at 0.25%. Expectations of rising CPI inflation in 2025 did not compel the BoJ to change its course, despite prior indications of potential rate increases.

The dollar rose 0.74% to 143.65 yen, nearing a high of 143.95.

Mixed Opinions on Bitcoin’s Future Trajectory

Following the Fed’s 50 basis-point cut, opinions vary widely regarding bitcoin’s outlook. Matt Mena from 21Shares believes potential market volatility may arise as investors react to signs of an economic slowdown. Conversely, BRN’s Valentin Fournier warns that technical indicators show bitcoin’s momentum may be at its peak, suggesting low exposure until prices drop to $56,000 or lower.

Conclusion

In summary, bitcoin’s price dynamics in response to the Fed’s rate cut, currency strengths, and mixed analyst opinions highlight the asset’s volatility and potential market influences moving forward.




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