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Visa - Why Visa stock should outperform in 2025, Wolfe Research

investing.com 14/12/2024 - 00:00 AM

Visa Inc's Strong Prospects for 2025

Visa Inc (NYSE: V) is anticipated to have a robust performance in 2025, according to a note from Wolfe Research. The brokerage emphasized Visa's substantial growth potential, supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions and structural drivers, positioning it as a leading choice in the payments sector.

Key Drivers of Growth

Wolfe's positive outlook is based on:
Strong Consumer Trends: Continued robust U.S. volume performance and growth in cross-border transactions.
Management Confidence: Visa’s CFO, Chris Suh, and head of IR, Jennifer Como, expressed confidence that fiscal year 2025 retains conservative elements while promising early signs of strong initial U.S. volume performance and advantageous foreign exchange trends.

Diversified Growth Areas

Key factors supporting Visa's potential include:
Value-Added Services (VAS) and New Flows: Representing over 30% of Visa's business mix, these areas are experiencing around 20% growth, contributing significantly to overall growth.
Implications for Growth: Wolfe believes that these segments will remain accretive to growth, suggesting potential for low double-digit growth in the medium term.

Pricing Opportunities and Innovations

Visa is also poised to take advantage of pricing opportunities in 2025, including:
– A new charge for cyber protection services in Europe.
– Continued innovation via platforms like Pismo and enhanced fraud capabilities through Featurespace, aimed at expanding Visa’s fraud and risk management capabilities.

Analyst Rating and Price Target

Wolfe Research maintains an “outperform” rating for Visa with a price target of $350, implying over an 11% upside from current levels. The firm anticipates Visa will continue to outshine U.S. personal consumption expenditures, benefitting from an expected recovery in average transaction sizes and stable spreads across carded categories.

Overall, Wolfe believes that Visa is well-positioned to outperform in 2025, with strategies in place to capture more transaction economics and adapt to changing market dynamics.




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